Silver, Nate, 1978-
New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
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Notes:

• Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.
• A Catastrophic failure of prediction — Are you smarter than a television pundit — All I care about is W’s and L’s — For years you’ve been telling us that rain is green — Desperately seeking signal — How to drown in three feet of water — Role models — Less and less and less wrong — Rage against the machines — The poker bubble — If you can’t beat ‘em — A climate of healthy skepticism — What you don’t know can hurt you.
• Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

Subjects:

• Forecasting.
• Forecasting — Methodology.
• Forecasting — History.
• Bayesian statistical decision theory.
• Knowledge, Theory of.

Requested by Doree, S